Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Bennett 47.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 84.0%
Defensive zone
Bennett 50.4%
Neutral zone
Bennett 64.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
MacKinnon
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
MacKinnon
Bennett
Last 10: MacKinnon 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
2
MacKinnon
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
45.5% (756)
+0.3%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
63.0% (92)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
31.0% (29)
-3.4%
On power play, Bennett has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bennett is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bennett
Home
49.5% (396)
46.5% (456)
Away
41.7% (448)
47.3% (421)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bennett
P1
50.2%
46.6%
P2
43.8%
50.5%
P3
41.4%
43.5%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
41.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |