Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 48.6% vs Bennett 47.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 57.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 50.2%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
MacKinnon
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
MacKinnon
Bennett
Last 7: MacKinnon 5-2 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
2
MacKinnon
Bennett
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (849)
46.0% (326)
+2.2%
Power Play
51.0% (151)
50.0% (18)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
33.3% (3)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (705).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bennett is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bennett
Home
51.2% (521)
50.4% (129)
Away
45.6% (526)
43.6% (218)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bennett
P1
49.9%
52.9%
P2
48.0%
38.9%
P3
47.9%
46.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |