Nathan MacKinnon vs Sean Couturier
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Couturier 53.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 69.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 66.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 74.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
MacKinnon
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
MacKinnon
Couturier
Last 10: MacKinnon 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
8
MacKinnon
Couturier
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
2
MacKinnon
Couturier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
4
MacKinnon
Couturier
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
53.8% (1,003)
-8.3%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
56.4% (202)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
42.7% (89)
-2.7%
On even strength, Couturier has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Couturier
Home
47.8% (670)
54.4% (680)
Away
44.6% (644)
52.4% (614)
By Period
MacKinnon
Couturier
P1
45.3%
56.3%
P2
48.5%
51.8%
P3
45.0%
52.2%
OT
33.3%
60.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |