Nathan MacKinnon vs Sean Couturier
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Couturier 55.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 75.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 85.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 79.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
MacKinnon
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
MacKinnon
Couturier
Last 10: MacKinnon 7-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
2
MacKinnon
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
4
MacKinnon
Couturier
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
55.1% (1,008)
-5.9%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
64.1% (142)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
53.3% (45)
-4.2%
On power play, Couturier has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Couturier
Home
50.9% (740)
58.1% (609)
Away
49.0% (774)
53.9% (586)
By Period
MacKinnon
Couturier
P1
50.9%
55.3%
P2
51.8%
55.8%
P3
47.1%
57.4%
OT
58.8%
45.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |