Nathan MacKinnon vs Vincent Trocheck
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.2%). Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 50.5% vs Trocheck 50.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 60.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 57.6%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 67.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
3
MacKinnon
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
2
MacKinnon
Trocheck
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
0
MacKinnon
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,167)
50.3% (1,280)
-1.0%
Power Play
61.0% (187)
52.7% (201)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (167)
46.4% (183)
+1.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. MacKinnon is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (492).
MacKinnon shoots right. Trocheck is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Home
57.7% (728)
52.4% (828)
Away
44.0% (793)
48.0% (836)
By Period
MacKinnon
Trocheck
P1
50.1%
52.6%
P2
52.5%
50.9%
P3
49.3%
48.1%
OT
43.8%
34.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |