Nathan MacKinnon vs Vincent Trocheck

2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.2%). Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 50.5% vs Trocheck 50.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor MacKinnon leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone Trocheck 60.0%
Defensive zone Trocheck 57.6%
Neutral zone Trocheck 67.3%
Result Vincent Trocheck favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
MacKinnon Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
11 - 5 (16 meetings)
11
5
MacKinnon Trocheck
Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Trocheck

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
3
MacKinnon Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
2
MacKinnon Trocheck
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
0
MacKinnon Trocheck
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,167)
50.3% (1,280)
-1.0%
Power Play
61.0% (187)
52.7% (201)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (167)
46.4% (183)
+1.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +8.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. MacKinnon is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (492).
MacKinnon shoots right. Trocheck is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Home
57.7% (728)
52.4% (828)
Away
44.0% (793)
48.0% (836)
By Period
MacKinnon
Trocheck
P1
50.1%
52.6%
P2
52.5%
50.9%
P3
49.3%
48.1%
OT
43.8%
34.4%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
50.6%
Trocheck
60.0%
57.0%
50.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 16, 2016 3 18:53 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 16, 2016 3 10:36 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 16, 2016 2 19:51 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 16, 2016 2 19:41 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2016 3 14:44 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2016 3 06:22 Defensive Vincent Trocheck
Oct 22, 2016 2 17:53 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2016 2 16:17 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2016 2 11:51 Defensive Vincent Trocheck
Oct 22, 2016 2 05:53 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Oct 22, 2016 1 19:56 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2016 1 12:40 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2016 1 09:46 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2016 1 09:10 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2016 1 06:36 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2016 1 00:17 Offensive Vincent Trocheck