Nathan MacKinnon vs Vincent Trocheck
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.1%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 57.6%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 50.9%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
MacKinnon
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
54.3% (955)
-8.5%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
64.6% (96)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
51.0% (194)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Trocheck is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Home
49.5% (396)
58.3% (604)
Away
41.7% (448)
51.2% (641)
By Period
MacKinnon
Trocheck
P1
50.2%
53.9%
P2
43.8%
55.7%
P3
41.4%
54.3%
OT
66.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |