Nathan MacKinnon vs Vincent Trocheck

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 49.9% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-9.4%)
H2H factor Trocheck leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone MacKinnon 79.9%
Defensive zone MacKinnon 88.0%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 83.0%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
MacKinnon Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 10 (13 meetings)
3
10
MacKinnon Trocheck
Last 10: MacKinnon 2-8 Trocheck

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
2
MacKinnon Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
6
MacKinnon Trocheck
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
MacKinnon Trocheck
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
59.6% (1,032)
-10.4%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
62.1% (253)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
55.4% (249)
-6.3%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +10.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
MacKinnon shoots right. Trocheck is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Home
50.9% (740)
61.7% (786)
Away
49.0% (774)
56.8% (748)
By Period
MacKinnon
Trocheck
P1
50.9%
61.7%
P2
51.8%
58.8%
P3
47.1%
57.6%
OT
58.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
57.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
49.9%
Trocheck
60.0%
57.0%
59.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 26, 2025 3 19:45 Neutral Vincent Trocheck
Jan 26, 2025 3 06:26 Defensive Vincent Trocheck
Jan 26, 2025 2 08:28 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 26, 2025 1 14:13 Defensive Vincent Trocheck
Jan 26, 2025 1 11:03 Defensive Vincent Trocheck
Jan 26, 2025 1 10:55 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 14, 2025 2 19:28 Defensive Vincent Trocheck
Jan 14, 2025 2 13:08 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Jan 14, 2025 2 12:56 Defensive Vincent Trocheck
Jan 14, 2025 2 09:04 Defensive Vincent Trocheck
Jan 14, 2025 1 11:02 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 14, 2025 1 06:34 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Jan 14, 2025 1 06:23 Neutral Vincent Trocheck