Nathan MacKinnon vs Vincent Trocheck
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 79.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 88.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 83.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Last 10: MacKinnon 2-8 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
2
MacKinnon
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
6
MacKinnon
Trocheck
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
MacKinnon
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
59.6% (1,032)
-10.4%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
62.1% (253)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
55.4% (249)
-6.3%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
MacKinnon shoots right. Trocheck is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Home
50.9% (740)
61.7% (786)
Away
49.0% (774)
56.8% (748)
By Period
MacKinnon
Trocheck
P1
50.9%
61.7%
P2
51.8%
58.8%
P3
47.1%
57.6%
OT
58.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |