Nathan MacKinnon vs Vincent Trocheck
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 77.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 59.9%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 76.6%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Last 7: MacKinnon 4-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
1
MacKinnon
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
MacKinnon
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
MacKinnon
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
57.6% (1,061)
-12.1%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
65.1% (338)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
49.5% (101)
-9.5%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
MacKinnon shoots right. Trocheck is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Home
47.8% (670)
61.8% (735)
Away
44.6% (644)
55.8% (765)
By Period
MacKinnon
Trocheck
P1
45.3%
57.7%
P2
48.5%
57.9%
P3
45.0%
60.4%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |