Nathan MacKinnon vs Vincent Trocheck
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.2% vs Trocheck 51.6% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 65.5%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 85.5%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 75.7%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Last 6: MacKinnon 4-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
0
MacKinnon
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
MacKinnon
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (1,039)
50.8% (783)
-8.0%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
60.0% (95)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
51.8% (83)
-5.6%
On power play, Trocheck has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (294).
MacKinnon shoots right. Trocheck is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Trocheck
Home
48.0% (586)
54.9% (506)
Away
39.5% (597)
48.4% (455)
By Period
MacKinnon
Trocheck
P1
46.1%
52.3%
P2
41.5%
50.8%
P3
43.8%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 18:54 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |