Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Kadri 49.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 60.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 88.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 67.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Ryan
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ryan
Kadri
Last 5: Ryan 3-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Ryan
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
50.2% (849)
+10.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.6% (235)
-22.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
43.0% (93)
+0.2%
On power play, Kadri has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Kadri is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kadri
Home
56.7% (254)
48.5% (557)
Away
55.0% (258)
50.8% (620)
By Period
Ryan
Kadri
P1
56.9%
49.5%
P2
51.7%
51.3%
P3
59.2%
47.8%
OT
0.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |