Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Foligno 49.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 86.8%
Defensive zone
Kadri 55.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 69.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Kadri
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kadri
Foligno
Last 8: Kadri 1-7 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
5
Kadri
Foligno
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Kadri
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
49.0% (261)
-1.6%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
57.1% (42)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
47.1% (51)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Kadri
Foligno
Home
46.6% (487)
48.9% (178)
Away
48.3% (433)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Kadri
Foligno
P1
52.7%
40.4%
P2
50.2%
55.8%
P3
40.2%
51.2%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |