Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Foligno 52.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.5%
Defensive zone
Kadri 73.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 70.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Kadri
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kadri
Foligno
Last 7: Kadri 1-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
3
Kadri
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Kadri
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Kadri
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
53.4% (249)
-5.7%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
53.2% (154)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
40.6% (32)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Kadri
Foligno
Home
48.3% (621)
57.3% (225)
Away
49.6% (589)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Kadri
Foligno
P1
48.1%
53.0%
P2
48.9%
51.8%
P3
49.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |