Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Foligno 48.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 69.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 70.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.4%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Kadri
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kadri
Foligno
Last 6: Kadri 3-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Kadri
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
48.7% (495)
-3.0%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
56.9% (65)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
43.8% (144)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Kadri
Foligno
Home
46.5% (725)
49.6% (359)
Away
46.0% (739)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Kadri
Foligno
P1
47.2%
46.7%
P2
44.9%
52.7%
P3
46.3%
46.7%
OT
51.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |