Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.6%). Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Foligno 48.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 53.4%
Defensive zone
Foligno 53.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.7%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Kadri
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
20
(38 meetings)
18
20
Kadri
Foligno
Last 10: Kadri 3-7 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
5
10
Kadri
Foligno
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
9
7
Kadri
Foligno
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
3
Kadri
Foligno
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
48.3% (2,810)
-0.1%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
52.3% (730)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
44.0% (455)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Kadri
Foligno
Home
49.1% (7,467)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Kadri
Foligno
P1
49.2%
47.6%
P2
48.8%
50.4%
P3
48.0%
48.3%
OT
49.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |