Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kadri wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 52.4% vs Roy 46.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 59.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 71.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 63.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Kadri
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kadri
Roy
Last 10: Kadri 3-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
5
Kadri
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (586)
41.5% (275)
+10.7%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
81.8% (11)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
61.3% (31)
+1.2%
On power play, Roy has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kadri is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Kadri shoots left. Roy is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Kadri
Roy
Home
52.7% (412)
46.1% (167)
Away
52.9% (331)
43.3% (150)
By Period
Kadri
Roy
P1
52.8%
46.7%
P2
51.3%
38.5%
P3
54.2%
50.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
52.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 06:34 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |