Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Roy 47.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 66.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 71.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Kadri
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Kadri
Roy
Last 8: Kadri 5-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
2
Kadri
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
4
Kadri
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
1
Kadri
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
48.6% (679)
-2.9%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
48.0% (50)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
34.7% (49)
+0.1%
On power play, Kadri has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kadri is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (434).
Kadri shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Kadri
Roy
Home
46.5% (725)
49.3% (345)
Away
46.0% (739)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Kadri
Roy
P1
47.2%
47.6%
P2
44.9%
47.1%
P3
46.3%
47.9%
OT
51.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |