Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 48.0%). Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Roy 48.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 82.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 74.9%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Kadri
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kadri
Roy
Last 8: Kadri 3-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
5
Kadri
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
48.3% (633)
-2.1%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
52.1% (48)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
43.7% (87)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Kadri shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Kadri
Roy
Home
47.4% (641)
50.8% (376)
Away
47.6% (593)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Kadri
Roy
P1
46.9%
53.8%
P2
49.5%
43.5%
P3
46.2%
46.4%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |