Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.4%). Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Roy 48.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 34-30 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 70.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Kadri
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
34
(64 meetings)
30
34
Kadri
Roy
Last 10: Kadri 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
14
3
Kadri
Roy
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
15
Kadri
Roy
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
14
16
Kadri
Roy
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
48.7% (3,719)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
49.5% (283)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
45.5% (477)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Kadri shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Kadri
Roy
Home
49.1% (7,467)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Kadri
Roy
P1
49.2%
50.8%
P2
48.8%
46.3%
P3
48.0%
48.1%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |