Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Zacha 51.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 72.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 66.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 54.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Kadri
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kadri
Zacha
Last 5: Kadri 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Kadri
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
53.3% (646)
-5.9%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
53.0% (100)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
38.9% (72)
-0.4%
On even strength, Zacha has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Kadri
Zacha
Home
46.6% (487)
51.7% (410)
Away
48.3% (433)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Kadri
Zacha
P1
52.7%
57.7%
P2
50.2%
48.9%
P3
40.2%
50.2%
OT
44.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |