Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.5% vs Zacha 51.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Kadri
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kadri
Zacha
Last 5: Kadri 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Kadri
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (688)
53.7% (497)
-4.3%
Power Play
52.2% (67)
54.8% (84)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
37.5% (64)
+1.0%
On even strength, Zacha has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kadri is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Kadri shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Kadri
Zacha
Home
49.1% (407)
51.0% (335)
Away
49.9% (361)
53.5% (310)
By Period
Kadri
Zacha
P1
56.4%
60.0%
P2
51.7%
48.1%
P3
41.4%
48.8%
OT
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |