Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.1%). Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Zacha 49.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 26-17 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 55.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 58.7%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Kadri
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
26
(43 meetings)
17
26
Kadri
Zacha
Last 10: Kadri 2-8 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
8
6
Kadri
Zacha
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
12
Kadri
Zacha
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
8
Kadri
Zacha
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
48.9% (5,102)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
55.6% (804)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
42.2% (555)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Kadri
Zacha
Home
49.1% (7,467)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Kadri
Zacha
P1
49.2%
49.9%
P2
48.8%
49.2%
P3
48.0%
48.1%
OT
49.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
48.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |