Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Zacha 52.8% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 74.7%
Defensive zone
Kadri 78.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 77.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Kadri
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kadri
Zacha
Last 5: Kadri 0-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Kadri
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Kadri
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Kadri
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
54.1% (534)
-8.4%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
56.0% (109)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
44.8% (96)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Kadri
Zacha
Home
46.5% (725)
53.4% (406)
Away
46.0% (739)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Kadri
Zacha
P1
47.2%
56.8%
P2
44.9%
53.6%
P3
46.3%
49.2%
OT
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |