Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Zacha 54.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 75.7%
Defensive zone
Kadri 71.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 71.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Kadri
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kadri
Zacha
Last 5: Kadri 1-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
4
Kadri
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
53.9% (787)
-6.2%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
63.2% (193)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
44.3% (88)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Kadri
Zacha
Home
48.3% (621)
56.7% (538)
Away
49.6% (589)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Kadri
Zacha
P1
48.1%
52.6%
P2
48.9%
54.8%
P3
49.8%
56.8%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |