Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Donato 46.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 56.2%
Defensive zone
Donato 60.4%
Neutral zone
Donato 53.4%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Kadri
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kadri
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Kadri
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
44.4% (180)
+3.3%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
43.2% (37)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
40.0% (5)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Donato is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Kadri
Donato
Home
48.3% (621)
45.4% (97)
Away
49.6% (589)
43.2% (125)
By Period
Kadri
Donato
P1
48.1%
36.2%
P2
48.9%
48.6%
P3
49.8%
46.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |