Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 47.5%). Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Donato 48.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 50.9%
Defensive zone
Donato 62.5%
Neutral zone
Donato 53.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Kadri
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Kadri
Donato
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Donato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kadri
Donato
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
48.1% (258)
-0.7%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
43.2% (37)
+5.6%
On power play, Kadri has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Donato is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Kadri
Donato
Home
46.6% (487)
45.8% (142)
Away
48.3% (433)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Kadri
Donato
P1
52.7%
48.1%
P2
50.2%
46.6%
P3
40.2%
46.8%
OT
44.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |