Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.8% vs Donato 45.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 51.8%
Defensive zone
Kadri 75.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 66.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Kadri
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Kadri
Donato
Last 10: Kadri 6-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kadri
Donato
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
2
Kadri
Donato
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (12,377)
44.4% (1,096)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.1% (1,873)
46.3% (240)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
36.4% (11)
+4.6%
On power play, Kadri has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Kadri is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,267).
Kadri shoots left. Donato is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Kadri
Donato
Home
49.3% (7,387)
47.7% (708)
Away
48.2% (7,159)
41.3% (639)
By Period
Kadri
Donato
P1
49.3%
43.5%
P2
48.9%
45.4%
P3
48.1%
44.4%
OT
49.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
48.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |