Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Donato 44.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.6%
Defensive zone
Kadri 75.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 70.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Kadri
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Kadri
Donato
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kadri
Donato
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
2
Kadri
Donato
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
44.2% (1,179)
+4.0%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
46.3% (246)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
36.4% (11)
+4.6%
On power play, Kadri has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Kadri
Donato
Home
49.1% (7,467)
47.2% (743)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Kadri
Donato
P1
49.2%
43.4%
P2
48.8%
45.1%
P3
48.0%
44.4%
OT
49.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |