Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.4%). Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.7% vs Carrick 49.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 70.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Kadri
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kadri
Carrick
Last 5: Kadri 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
2
Kadri
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (849)
48.9% (352)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.6% (235)
81.3% (16)
-30.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (93)
42.2% (45)
+0.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kadri is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Kadri shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Kadri
Carrick
Home
48.5% (557)
46.9% (192)
Away
50.8% (620)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Kadri
Carrick
P1
49.5%
48.1%
P2
51.3%
50.0%
P3
47.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |