Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Carrick 53.0% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 53.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 95.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 78.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Kadri
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Kadri
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
0
Kadri
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
53.9% (521)
-6.2%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
57.1% (35)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
51.5% (229)
+4.1%
On even strength, Carrick has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Kadri shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Kadri
Carrick
Home
48.3% (621)
52.7% (408)
Away
49.6% (589)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Kadri
Carrick
P1
48.1%
51.4%
P2
48.9%
56.6%
P3
49.8%
52.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |