Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Carrick 53.7% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 85.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 72.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Kadri
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kadri
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Kadri
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
53.8% (654)
-8.1%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
0.0% (2)
+52.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
63.9% (36)
-29.1%
On power play, Kadri has a +52.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kadri is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (434).
Kadri shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Kadri
Carrick
Home
46.5% (725)
50.0% (328)
Away
46.0% (739)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Kadri
Carrick
P1
47.2%
56.7%
P2
44.9%
51.1%
P3
46.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
46.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |