Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 62.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 55.9% vs Lafferty 49.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 78.2%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 78.3%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 56.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Kadri
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kadri
Lafferty
Last 7: Kadri 3-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
3
Kadri
Lafferty
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (533)
51.5% (204)
+3.5%
Power Play
63.0% (162)
41.7% (12)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
35.0% (20)
+19.5%
On power play, Kadri has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Kadri is 62.8% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Kadri shoots left. Lafferty is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Kadri
Lafferty
Home
62.2% (349)
49.2% (124)
Away
51.6% (368)
50.0% (112)
By Period
Kadri
Lafferty
P1
57.3%
48.9%
P2
56.5%
48.1%
P3
56.9%
51.6%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
56.8%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |