Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Lafferty 50.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 72.8%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 69.6%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 51.6%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Kadri
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kadri
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Kadri
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
50.7% (144)
-5.0%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
50.0% (2)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
50.0% (10)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Kadri is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (434).
Kadri shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Kadri
Lafferty
Home
46.5% (725)
53.2% (62)
Away
46.0% (739)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Kadri
Lafferty
P1
47.2%
53.3%
P2
44.9%
46.7%
P3
46.3%
52.8%
Final 5 min
46.3%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |