Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Lafferty leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 73.7%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 75.0%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 50.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Kadri
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Kadri
Lafferty
Last 10: Kadri 5-5 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
2
5
Kadri
Lafferty
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kadri
Lafferty
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
6
3
Kadri
Lafferty
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
48.0% (1,413)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
45.7% (46)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
43.5% (184)
-2.5%
On power play, Kadri has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Kadri shoots left. Lafferty is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,248).
Home / Away
Kadri
Lafferty
Home
49.1% (7,467)
47.3% (833)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Kadri
Lafferty
P1
49.2%
49.4%
P2
48.8%
43.1%
P3
48.0%
49.8%
OT
49.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:30 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |