Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Lafferty 50.9% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 72.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 84.7%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 54.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Kadri
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kadri
Lafferty
Last 7: Kadri 4-3 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Kadri
Lafferty
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Kadri
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
52.2% (366)
-6.0%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
60.0% (15)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
46.2% (104)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Kadri shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Kadri
Lafferty
Home
47.4% (641)
53.1% (258)
Away
47.6% (593)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Kadri
Lafferty
P1
46.9%
52.5%
P2
49.5%
49.7%
P3
46.2%
51.3%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:30 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |