Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Aho 51.2% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 69.8%
Defensive zone
Aho 74.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 66.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Kadri
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Kadri
Aho
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
3
Kadri
Aho
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
48.5% (778)
-2.3%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
63.4% (191)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
50.8% (65)
-24.1%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Kadri
Aho
Home
47.4% (641)
51.3% (530)
Away
47.6% (593)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Kadri
Aho
P1
46.9%
50.0%
P2
49.5%
51.3%
P3
46.2%
52.1%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.5%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |