Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Aho 50.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 58.4%
Defensive zone
Kadri 57.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 57.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Kadri
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kadri
Aho
Last 6: Kadri 2-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Kadri
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
49.9% (851)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
53.5% (144)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
43.3% (60)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Kadri
Aho
Home
46.6% (487)
53.2% (554)
Away
48.3% (433)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Kadri
Aho
P1
52.7%
49.1%
P2
50.2%
50.8%
P3
40.2%
49.7%
OT
44.4%
58.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |