Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 69.6%
Defensive zone
Kadri 60.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 65.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Kadri
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kadri
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Kadri
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
55.3% (628)
-9.1%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
55.1% (216)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
40.2% (87)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Kadri shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Kadri
Stamkos
Home
47.4% (641)
55.5% (499)
Away
47.6% (593)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Kadri
Stamkos
P1
46.9%
50.7%
P2
49.5%
53.8%
P3
46.2%
55.9%
OT
42.9%
87.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |