Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 68.9%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 50.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Kadri
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kadri
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
55.9% (499)
-8.2%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
56.3% (126)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
58.3% (12)
-2.7%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Kadri shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Kadri
Stamkos
Home
48.3% (621)
55.3% (349)
Away
49.6% (589)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Kadri
Stamkos
P1
48.1%
57.0%
P2
48.9%
59.2%
P3
49.8%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |