Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 42 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 54-49 in 103 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 59.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 60.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Kadri
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
54
-
49
(103 meetings)
54
49
Kadri
Stamkos
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
12
17
Kadri
Stamkos
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
25
17
Kadri
Stamkos
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
17
15
Kadri
Stamkos
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
50.4% (9,799)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
55.1% (1,725)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
49.7% (825)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Kadri shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Kadri
Stamkos
Home
49.1% (7,467)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Kadri
Stamkos
P1
49.2%
49.1%
P2
48.8%
52.7%
P3
48.0%
50.9%
OT
49.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |