Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.1% vs Johnson 51.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 76.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 53.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.9%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Kadri
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kadri
Johnson
Last 7: Kadri 5-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (1,051)
51.2% (825)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (66)
56.9% (160)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
51.1% (137)
-4.0%
On power play, Johnson has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kadri is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Kadri shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Kadri
Johnson
Home
50.3% (576)
56.9% (583)
Away
45.5% (558)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Kadri
Johnson
P1
49.9%
55.1%
P2
48.1%
53.0%
P3
46.2%
48.8%
OT
41.2%
28.6%
Final 5 min
43.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |