Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Johnson 45.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 61.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 71.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 55.1%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Kadri
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kadri
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Kadri
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
44.6% (285)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
46.7% (60)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
16.7% (6)
+38.9%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Kadri shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Kadri
Johnson
Home
48.3% (621)
50.8% (179)
Away
49.6% (589)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Kadri
Johnson
P1
48.1%
41.3%
P2
48.9%
41.8%
P3
49.8%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |