Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Johnson 49.7% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 28-23 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 58.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Kadri
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
23
(51 meetings)
28
23
Kadri
Johnson
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
8
5
Kadri
Johnson
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
10
12
Kadri
Johnson
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
10
6
Kadri
Johnson
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
49.8% (5,396)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
54.6% (885)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
42.3% (707)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Kadri shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Kadri
Johnson
Home
49.1% (7,467)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Kadri
Johnson
P1
49.2%
50.1%
P2
48.8%
50.6%
P3
48.0%
48.4%
OT
49.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 12, 2018 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |