Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Johnson 50.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 55.6%
Defensive zone
Kadri 56.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 55.1%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Kadri
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kadri
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
47.4% (78)
-1.2%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
57.6% (33)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
100.0% (2)
-73.3%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +73.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Kadri shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Kadri
Johnson
Home
47.4% (641)
50.9% (57)
Away
47.6% (593)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Kadri
Johnson
P1
46.9%
44.1%
P2
49.5%
59.4%
P3
46.2%
52.3%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |