Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 59.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 86.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 74.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Kadri
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Kadri
Karlsson
Last 10: Kadri 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Kadri
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
56.3% (739)
-8.6%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
58.6% (181)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
47.2% (53)
+8.4%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Kadri
Karlsson
Home
48.3% (621)
56.5% (462)
Away
49.6% (589)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Kadri
Karlsson
P1
48.1%
57.1%
P2
48.9%
55.2%
P3
49.8%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 27, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 18:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |