Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 58.3%
Defensive zone
Kadri 53.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 59.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Kadri
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Kadri
Karlsson
Last 10: Kadri 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
5
6
Kadri
Karlsson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
4
5
Kadri
Karlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
3
Kadri
Karlsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
58.6% (597)
-12.9%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
57.9% (57)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
51.9% (52)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Kadri
Karlsson
Home
46.5% (725)
59.6% (344)
Away
46.0% (739)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Kadri
Karlsson
P1
47.2%
53.1%
P2
44.9%
62.1%
P3
46.3%
60.1%
OT
51.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:20 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |