Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.2% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 69.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 93.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 78.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Kadri
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kadri
Karlsson
Last 5: Kadri 4-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (889)
58.5% (135)
-11.6%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
80.0% (5)
-31.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
44.4% (18)
-5.9%
On power play, Karlsson has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kadri is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (632).
Kadri shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Kadri
Karlsson
Home
46.3% (523)
63.7% (91)
Away
47.6% (466)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Kadri
Karlsson
P1
52.6%
54.4%
P2
49.0%
66.7%
P3
39.8%
51.9%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
44.0%▲
37.5%
46.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | William Karlsson |