Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Girgensons 46.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 77.4%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 73.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.0%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Kadri
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kadri
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
2
Kadri
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Kadri
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
45.3% (128)
+0.9%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
50.0% (4)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
45.3% (75)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Kadri
Girgensons
Home
47.4% (641)
41.0% (100)
Away
47.6% (593)
49.5% (107)
By Period
Kadri
Girgensons
P1
46.9%
41.9%
P2
49.5%
53.9%
P3
46.2%
40.0%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
32.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |