Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 71.6%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 71.0%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 54.0%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Kadri
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kadri
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Kadri
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
46.3% (147)
+1.4%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
66.7% (3)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
51.1% (47)
+4.5%
On power play, Girgensons has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Girgensons is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Kadri
Girgensons
Home
48.3% (621)
34.2% (79)
Away
49.6% (589)
56.8% (118)
By Period
Kadri
Girgensons
P1
48.1%
56.5%
P2
48.9%
38.1%
P3
49.8%
47.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |