Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Girgensons 48.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 75.9%
Defensive zone
Kadri 55.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 68.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Kadri
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kadri
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Kadri
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Kadri
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
47.2% (127)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
50.0% (2)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Kadri shoots left. Girgensons is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Kadri
Girgensons
Home
46.5% (725)
50.0% (80)
Away
46.0% (739)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Kadri
Girgensons
P1
47.2%
40.5%
P2
44.9%
54.3%
P3
46.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |