Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Dowd 49.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 91.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 54.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 77.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Compher
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Compher
Dowd
Last 10: Compher 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
1
Compher
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
7
4
Compher
Dowd
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
51.7% (644)
+2.2%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
0.0% (2)
+54.8%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
41.6% (221)
-6.0%
On power play, Compher has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Compher is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Compher shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Compher
Dowd
Home
52.4% (429)
48.6% (451)
Away
51.7% (449)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Compher
Dowd
P1
56.0%
49.1%
P2
50.0%
47.3%
P3
50.6%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 05:47 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:17 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |