Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). McLeod wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 51.7% vs Dowd 51.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 59.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
McLeod
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
McLeod
Dowd
Last 10: McLeod 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
4
McLeod
Dowd
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
3
McLeod
Dowd
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (125)
51.2% (381)
+2.4%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
100.0% (2)
-57.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
McLeod shoots right. Dowd is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
McLeod
Dowd
Home
63.8% (58)
54.6% (218)
Away
44.6% (74)
49.6% (254)
By Period
McLeod
Dowd
P1
47.6%
50.6%
P2
59.4%
55.1%
P3
53.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
53.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |