Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.7%). Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McLeod wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 50.0% vs Dowd 49.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 56.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 64.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.9%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
McLeod
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McLeod
Dowd
Last 7: McLeod 2-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
McLeod
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (75)
50.7% (379)
+1.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
64.3% (14)
-64.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.5% (157)
-13.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (28).
McLeod shoots right. Dowd is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
McLeod
Dowd
Home
40.0% (20)
53.7% (244)
Away
53.3% (60)
46.6% (307)
By Period
McLeod
Dowd
P1
44.4%
53.6%
P2
61.5%
44.1%
P3
44.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
61.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
50.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |